Tuesday, April 16, 2024
Hawai'i Free Press

Current Articles | Archives

Friday, January 22, 2010
Star-Bulletin/KITV gubernatorial, congressional polls larded with 210% more Democrats
By Andrew Walden @ 2:53 PM :: 13078 Views :: Maui County, Education K-12, Energy, Environment, National News, Ethics

by Andrew Walden

A Star-Bulletin/KITV/Mason-Dixon poll, released January 18 claims to show Republican Lt Governor Duke Aiona lagging 6 points behind Democrat Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann and 9 points behind Democrat US Rep. Neil Abercrombie in hypothetical General Election contests.  But the poll included 486 “likely Democratic primary voters”—61% of the 800 registered voters sampled.  This is 210% of the 29% of registered voters who participated in the 2008 Hawaii Democrat primary and 167% of the 36% of registered voters who participated in the hard-fought 2006 Hawaii Democrat primary. 

A “likely Democratic primary voter” would be a voter who has participated in both recent Democratic primaries.  This would be less than 29% of total Hawaii registered voters.

The first Congressional district responses from the same poll also produced a result reported separately showing Republican Charles Djou trailing Democrats Ed Case and Colleen Hanabusa.  But 272 of 403 CD1 respondents—nearly 68%--are identified by the Star-Bulletin as “likely Democratic primary voters” --an even stronger sampling bias than the gubernatorial poll.

The SB poll showed Case beating Djou 52% –21% and Hanabusa beating Djou 43% –36% in hypothetical General Election contests. Tellingly, the SB did not report poll numbers from the three-way Special Election.

The two poll results provide Democrats with the illusion of momentum, a crucial factor in winning independents and undecided votes and in garnering campaign contributions. 

---30--- 

SB articles . . .

Case holds lead over Hanabusa and Djou >>> LINK

Out Duked: A poll shows the lieutenant governor losing to Democrats for the State’s top job  >>> LINK

Links

TEXT "follow HawaiiFreePress" to 40404

Register to Vote

2aHawaii

808 Silent Majority

Aloha Pregnancy Care Center

AntiPlanner

Antonio Gramsci Reading List

A Place for Women in Waipio

Ballotpedia Hawaii

Broken Trust

Build More Hawaiian Homes Working Group

Christian Homeschoolers of Hawaii

Cliff Slater's Second Opinion

DVids Hawaii

FIRE

Fix Oahu!

Frontline: The Fixers

Genetic Literacy Project

Grassroot Institute

Habele.org

Hawaii Aquarium Fish Report

Hawaii Aviation Preservation Society

Hawaii Catholic TV

Hawaii Christian Coalition

Hawaii Cigar Association

Hawaii ConCon Info

Hawaii Debt Clock

Hawaii Defense Foundation

Hawaii Family Forum

Hawaii Farmers and Ranchers United

Hawaii Farmer's Daughter

Hawaii Federalist Society

Hawaii Federation of Republican Women

Hawaii History Blog

Hawaii Homeschool Association

Hawaii Jihadi Trial

Hawaii Legal News

Hawaii Legal Short-Term Rental Alliance

Hawaii Matters

Hawaii's Partnership for Appropriate & Compassionate Care

Hawaii Public Charter School Network

Hawaii Rifle Association

Hawaii Shippers Council

Hawaii Smokers Alliance

Hawaii State Data Lab

Hawaii Together

HIEC.Coop

HiFiCo

Hiram Fong Papers

Homeschool Legal Defense Hawaii

Honolulu Moms for Liberty

Honolulu Navy League

Honolulu Traffic

House Minority Blog

Imua TMT

Inouye-Kwock, NYT 1992

Inside the Nature Conservancy

Inverse Condemnation

Investigative Project on Terrorism

July 4 in Hawaii

Kakaako Cares

Keep Hawaii's Heroes

Land and Power in Hawaii

Legislative Committee Analysis Tool

Lessons in Firearm Education

Lingle Years

Managed Care Matters -- Hawaii

Malama Pregnancy Center of Maui

MentalIllnessPolicy.org

Military Home Educators' Network Oahu

Missile Defense Advocacy

MIS Veterans Hawaii

NAMI Hawaii

Natatorium.org

National Christian Foundation Hawaii

National Parents Org Hawaii

NFIB Hawaii News

No GMO Means No Aloha

Not Dead Yet, Hawaii

NRA-ILA Hawaii

Oahu Alternative Transport

Obookiah

OHA Lies

Opt Out Today

OurFutureHawaii.com

Patients Rights Council Hawaii

PEACE Hawaii

People vs Machine

Practical Policy Institute of Hawaii

Pritchett Cartoons

Pro-GMO Hawaii

P.U.E.O.

RailRipoff.com

Rental by Owner Awareness Assn

ReRoute the Rail

Research Institute for Hawaii USA

Rick Hamada Show

RJ Rummel

Robotics Organizing Committee

School Choice in Hawaii

SenatorFong.com

Sink the Jones Act

Statehood for Guam

Talking Tax

Tax Foundation of Hawaii

The Real Hanabusa

Time Out Honolulu

Trustee Akina KWO Columns

UCC Truths

US Tax Foundation Hawaii Info

VAREP Honolulu

Waagey.org

West Maui Taxpayers Association

What Natalie Thinks

Whole Life Hawaii

Yes2TMT