Tuesday, July 16, 2024
Hawai'i Free Press

Current Articles | Archives

Sunday, October 4, 2020
UHERO: Tourism bounce back will be slow
By UHERO @ 4:48 AM :: 3500 Views :: Economy, Tourism, COVID-19

New tourism plan needed for COVID and beyond, UHERO says

From UH News, Oct 2, 2020

A new University of Hawaiʻi Economic Research Organization (UHERO) report illustrated a dark forecast—worse than the aftermath of 9/11—for travel and tourism in Hawaiʻi, across the U.S. and around the world.

Hawaiʻi’s tourism industry has been essentially shut down since March 2020, and UHERO forecasted that visitor arrivals by air and inflation adjusted visitor spending in 2020 will be down 73% from 2019 levels. The decisions made by tourism and government leaders in the near future will be critical for the industry.

Health experts warned that COVID-19 may be around for years, and even with a vaccine eventually available, people may still be apprehensive about traveling. UHERO also said that Hawaiʻi is already an expensive place to visit, and maintaining current health protocols and increasing travel costs associated with measures to address climate change will make a Hawaiʻi vacation even more expensive.

This is not all negative. Hawaiʻi Tourism Authority’s latest plan adopted before the pandemic calls for the state to focus less on the number of visitors and more on attracting high spending and low impact visitors. Lawmakers are also revisiting the discussion on diversifying away from tourism.

Worldwide travel outlook

The outlook for national and international travel is also grim. The United Nations World Tourism Organization estimated that international tourism could fall by 58–78% in 2020, depending on how quickly countries can contain the coronavirus and reopen their borders. The report also noted that, according to consulting firm Oxford Economics, U.S. recovery to 2019 numbers of international inbound arrivals will not happen until 2025.

The issues expected to arise include: many people will either opt to not travel or limit their travel, online meetings and gatherings will become the norm, travel will take a bigger cut of our smaller disposable incomes, and there will be a boom in domestic travel, such as road trips.

UHERO is housed in the UH Mānoa College of Social Sciences.

LINK: Visit the UHERO website for the full brief.

WHT: Research paper: Tourism bounce back will be slow

SA: Economists anticipate Hawaii’s shrinking population will decline further due to coronavirus  

CB: Hawaii’s Population Is Shrinking. The Pandemic Could Make Things Worse

SA: After Hawaii tourism reopens, will there be a flood or trickle of visitors?


TEXT "follow HawaiiFreePress" to 40404

Register to Vote


Aloha Pregnancy Care Center


Antonio Gramsci Reading List

A Place for Women in Waipio

Ballotpedia Hawaii

Broken Trust

Build More Hawaiian Homes Working Group

Christian Homeschoolers of Hawaii

Cliff Slater's Second Opinion

DVids Hawaii


Fix Oahu!

Frontline: The Fixers

Genetic Literacy Project

Grassroot Institute


Hawaii Aquarium Fish Report

Hawaii Aviation Preservation Society

Hawaii Catholic TV

Hawaii Christian Coalition

Hawaii Cigar Association

Hawaii ConCon Info

Hawaii Debt Clock

Hawaii Defense Foundation

Hawaii Family Forum

Hawaii Farmers and Ranchers United

Hawaii Farmer's Daughter

Hawaii Federation of Republican Women

Hawaii History Blog

Hawaii Jihadi Trial

Hawaii Legal News

Hawaii Legal Short-Term Rental Alliance

Hawaii Matters

Hawaii Military History

Hawaii's Partnership for Appropriate & Compassionate Care

Hawaii Public Charter School Network

Hawaii Rifle Association

Hawaii Shippers Council

Hawaii Together


Hiram Fong Papers

Homeschool Legal Defense Hawaii

Honolulu Navy League

Honolulu Traffic

House Minority Blog

Imua TMT

Inouye-Kwock, NYT 1992

Inside the Nature Conservancy

Inverse Condemnation

July 4 in Hawaii

Land and Power in Hawaii

Lessons in Firearm Education

Lingle Years

Managed Care Matters -- Hawaii


Missile Defense Advocacy

MIS Veterans Hawaii

NAMI Hawaii


National Parents Org Hawaii

NFIB Hawaii News

NRA-ILA Hawaii


OHA Lies

Opt Out Today

Patients Rights Council Hawaii

Practical Policy Institute of Hawaii

Pritchett Cartoons

Pro-GMO Hawaii


Rental by Owner Awareness Assn

Research Institute for Hawaii USA

Rick Hamada Show

RJ Rummel

School Choice in Hawaii


Talking Tax

Tax Foundation of Hawaii

The Real Hanabusa

Time Out Honolulu

Trustee Akina KWO Columns


West Maui Taxpayers Association

What Natalie Thinks

Whole Life Hawaii