Politico: Hawaii Senate Race ‘Could Offer Biggest Surprise’

8. Hawaii (up 1 spot)

Evidence is mounting that the Aloha State could offer the biggest surprise of the cycle. Former Gov. Linda Lingle flexed her fundraising muscles with a $1.7 million quarter. Meanwhile, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee was forced to push back against a Civil Beat poll showing former Rep. Ed Case leading its preferred candidate, Rep. Mazie Hirono.

Who won January: Lingle

Latest poll: Hirono 46 percent, Lingle 39 percent (Honolulu Civil Beat/MRG, 1,358 likely voters, Jan. 18-19)

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