WSJ: Aloha Republicans?
The Hill: Republican leads in Obama’s home State
Rep. Charles Djou (R-Hawaii), who won a special election this past May with less than 40 percent of the vote, currently leads Democrat Colleen Hanabusa 45 percent to 41, with 12 percent of likely voters undecided, according to The Hill’s 2010 Midterm Election Poll.
After Hanabusa and ex-Rep. Ed Case (D-Hawaii) split the Democratic vote in May, paving the way for Djou’s victory, Democrats were supposed to have a fairly easy time taking this district back in the fall. But Djou is proving to be a good candidate, and his favorables are above 60 percent in an overwhelmingly Democratic district.
Djou has a solid lead among male voters, but only leads by one point among females. Hanabusa’s strength is among younger voters — she gets 60 percent of their support — while voters aged 35-54 break for Djou. Voters 55 and older are evenly split — 43 percent for Hanabusa and 43 percent for Djou.
Atlanta Journal Constitution: 19 Days Left
Another race that could be swinging to the Republicans is in Hawaii, where everyone in D.C. thought that Rep. Charles Djou (R-HI), who won a special election this summer, was going to be defeated, now that Democrats have agreed to back one candidate.
But the polls are showing a different story, as Djou has even moved slightly ahead in some polls. That would be an unexpected gift for Republicans.
Republicans also seem to be close in the race for Governor in the Aloha State, where former Rep. Neil Abercrombie (D) was assumed to be the overwhelming favorite. But a poll out last week - by a Democratic leaning firm - showed Abercrombie ahead by only 2 points.